射阳网编辑 发表于 2020-9-22 14:00:03

全球新冠正在加速!张文宏提醒:第二波疫情是必然的

<p><br/></p><p><br/></p><section style="letter-spacing: 1px;line-height: 1.8;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;text-align: justify;font-size: 16px;"><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">“今天英国首相也说了,英国已经出现了第二波;法国已经第二波半个月了;西班牙第二波也已经半个多月了…”<br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">20日下午,张文宏在上海交通大学表示,<span style="color: rgb(171, 25, 66);box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">在中国,老百姓一直问今年冬天有没有第二波疫情,对此他表示:第二波是必然的。</strong></span></span></p></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="opacity: 0.5;display: none;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline-block;padding: 0.4em;border-radius: 0.5em;background-color: black;color: white;box-sizing: border-box;">点击边框调出视频工具条</section><section style="width: 0px;margin: 0px auto;border-top: 6px solid black;border-left: 6px solid transparent;border-right: 6px solid transparent;box-sizing: border-box;"><svg viewbox="0 0 1 1" style="float:left;line-height:0;width:0;vertical-align:top;"></svg></section></section><section style="width: 100%;background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);line-height: 0;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="width: 100%;background-color: black;transform: rotate(0deg);-webkit-transform: rotate(0deg);-moz-transform: rotate(0deg);-o-transform: rotate(0deg);height: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;">&nbsp;https://v.qq.com/txp/iframe/player.html?vid=t3154ekpz61 &nbsp; &nbsp;<section style="top: 0px;left: 0px;width: 100%;height: 40%;box-sizing: border-box;"><svg viewbox="0 0 1 1" style="float:left;line-height:0;width:0;vertical-align:top;"></svg></section></section></section></section><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="color: rgb(85, 170, 173);font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></strong></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="color: rgb(85, 170, 173);font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">不能让输入性疫情成为小火苗再度爆发</strong></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">从全球范围看,为何新冠肺炎疫情控制不住,而且在国家和地区之间造成不平衡?张文宏道出他思考的答案:<span style="color: rgb(171, 25, 66);box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">归根到底,和这次新冠病毒的特性有着极大关系。</strong></span><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">新冠病毒传播力非常强,但致死率并不高。“不像埃博拉,不像SARS,甚至不像H1N9禽流感,”在张文宏看来,正是这一非常独特的现象导致病毒在全世界持续蔓延。</span></p></section><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></section></section></section></section><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">他特别提及,新冠病毒基本上对老年人发动攻击,而在整个社会医疗系统瘫痪时才对年轻人发动攻击。<span style="box-sizing: border-box;">因此,在这种特殊情况下,美国等国的年轻人在外无所谓,实施大隔离也做不到,但“没有这么致命”的新冠恰恰形成了全球疫情的“致命性”,“毒力不是太强”的病毒却反而变成了整个人类的强敌。</span></span></p></section><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></section></section></section></section><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">而在中国,体制机制保障下,必须完成百分之百的隔离。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">策略就是一个月内一定要搞定,<span style="color: rgb(171, 25, 66);box-sizing: border-box;">“如果不搞定,这个小火苗烧起来,就成为指数曲线。”</span>他透露,<span style="color: rgb(171, 25, 66);box-sizing: border-box;">中国仍然面临输入风险,这两天国家组团分赴各个省份督察感染病防治体系,不能让输入性疫情成为小火苗再度爆发。</span></span></p></section><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></section></section></section></section><section style="box-sizing: border-box; text-align: center;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;display: inline;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"></section></section></section><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><span style="color: rgb(85, 170, 173);font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">疫情还要延续相当长的时间</strong></span><span style="font-size: 17px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></span><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">接下来,怎么办?张文宏预计,原则上,这轮疫情还要延续相当长的时间。在感染科专家眼中,“80%的人是无症状的,这是非常恐怖的。”传播力如此之强的病毒会一直存在,西方国家的做法是等待疫苗,疫苗出来之后对脆弱人群予以保护,病死率就会下来,降到常规性流感水平,也就是总体死亡率0.5%以下。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 17px;box-sizing: border-box;">但张文宏估测,<span style="font-size: 16px;color: rgb(186, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">这个时间点一年之内达不到,“因为疫苗做好,建成供应链铺货,需要时间……”</strong></span>而且,美国研发的疫苗需要冷链,活性要求非常高,中国研发的灭活疫苗还好,但都需要一定时间做到。因此,</span><span style="font-size: 17px;color: rgb(186, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">“对于这个世界的预期,做一年的打算应该是最低的限定。”</strong></span></span></p></section><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="margin-left: 8px;margin-right: 8px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></section></section></section></section><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><span style="color: rgb(85, 170, 173);font-size: 18px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">全球新冠感染正在加速,有国家可能“二次封城”</strong></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-size: 17px;box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></strong></span><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 17px;box-sizing: border-box;">疫情之下,近期数字让人揪心:</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(152, 145, 145);box-sizing: border-box;">截至北京时间9月18日19时30分,全球新冠肺炎确诊病例达3038万例,死亡病例951169例。包括美国、巴西、印度、俄罗斯等国在内的至少30个国家单日新增确诊病例数均超过千例,其中印度新增96423例,美国新增44206例,巴西新增36303例。<br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(152, 145, 145);box-sizing: border-box;">据统计,过去一段时间,全球平均每周新增约180万新冠肺炎确诊病例,单日新增病例最高超过30万例,全球累计病例数量从2000万到3000万,仅用了37天时间。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(152, 145, 145);box-sizing: border-box;">而在疫情开始的第一个月,全球只有不到1万例,达到1000万例用了约6个月时间。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p></section><section style="text-align: unset;max-width: 100%;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">18日,在接受英国天空新闻采访时,英国卫生大臣汉考克称新冠疫情正在全英加速蔓延。记者问英国是否会采取第二次全国“封城”时,汉考克表示:“我们将采取一切必要措施确保人民安全。”他同时对记者说:“第二次‘封城’将是最后一道防线”。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">法国卫生部17日说,法国过去24小时新增10593例新冠确诊病例,创疫情暴发以来新高。前一个单日新增确诊病例峰值出现在9月12日,为10561例。</span></p></section><section style="text-align: unset;font-size: 17px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></span></section><section style="text-align: unset;white-space: normal;max-width: 100%;padding: 0px 10px;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><p style="text-indent: 2em;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;">世卫组织总干事谭德塞曾多次发出警告,全球单日新增病例数量不断创下新高,说明病毒已在全球层面稳固传播,疫情仍在加速蔓延。</p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></p></section><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="white-space: normal;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="display: inline;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="max-width: 100%;vertical-align: middle;display: inline-block;line-height: 0;border-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);border-style: solid;border-width: 1px;box-sizing: border-box;margin-left: 0px;"></section></section></section></section></section><section style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="text-align: center;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><section style="display: inline;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><section style="text-align: unset;font-size: 17px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></span></section></section></section></section><section style="text-align: center;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;" powered-by="xiumi.us"><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 18px;color: rgb(186, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">防控<span style="box-sizing: border-box;">疫情</span>,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;"/></strong></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><span style="font-size: 18px;color: rgb(186, 0, 0);box-sizing: border-box;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">仍不能大意!</strong></span></p><p style="margin: 0px;padding: 0px;box-sizing: border-box;"><br/></p></section></section><p><br/></p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: center;white-space: normal;color: rgb(89, 87, 87);">- end -</strong></p><p style="text-align: center;"><br/></p><p style="text-align: left;"><span style="color: rgb(89, 87, 87);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 12px;text-align: justify;">▍图文来源:人民日报 ▍</span></p><p style="text-align: left;"><br/></p><p><br/></p><link rel="stylesheet" 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